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Debate Ratings - 2016-17 Regular Season

2/7/2017

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These are the final ratings for the 2016-17 regular season, with one caveat.  I had to manually enter the results for both the Dartmouth and Pittsburgh round robins.  As far as I know, I did so without error, but the calculation will be rerun when the results from those tournaments are downloadable from tabroom.

Also, I am aware that Kansas's Robinson is listed twice (as are others potentially).  This is because she had enough rounds with two separate partners to be listed, and I don't really want to be in the business of keeping up with all of the partnership changes that happen on every team.

Disclaimers:
  1. These are not my personal opinions.  The algorithm is set and runs autonomously from how I may personally feel about teams.  I do not put my finger on the scale.
  2. The ratings are determined by nothing more than the head to head outcome of debate rounds.  No preconceptions about which schools or debaters are good, no weighting for perceived quality of tournaments, no eye test adjustments.  If you beat somebody, your rating goes up and theirs goes down.  If you beat somebody with a much higher rating, it goes up more.  If you beat them in elims, it will go up by more than if you do so in prelims.  That's it.

For a sense of what the ratings number actually means:
  • A 1 point ratings advantage translates roughly into 5:4 expected odds,
  • 2 points is about 3:2
  • 3 points is about 2:1
  • 4 points is about 3:1
  • 5 points is about 4:1
  • 8 points is about 9:1
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