The second set of ratings (which includes everything up to the Harvard tournament) are now posted.
Remember, the ratings are a self-correcting work in progress that are only as good as the available data, and right now we're still working on relatively limited data (especially in a world of a fairly divided travel schedule) that is open to large fluctuation. Also, it's important to remember that the ratings are *are not* meant to be a reflection of community perceptions of who is "the best" or even necessarily who has had the "best season." Those involve value judgments that go beyond the scope of what is trying to be accomplished here. The ratings are nothing more nor less than a system to predict future results based on past results.
There are a number of big movers in this edition of the ratings.
Perhaps most surprisingly, Berkeley MS jumps to the top spot and Harvard HS drops to 3rd. Even though they didn't win Harvard, Berkeley arguably had the best tournament of anybody there. Their only loss came to the #2 ranked team in semifinals on a 2-1 decision, and they picked up a number of big wins along the way (including one over the lone team that they lost to). Michigan KM's winning of the Harvard tournament was tempered by a mediocre 4-4 finish at the Kentucky RR. Harvard HS's rating dropped because they underperformed relative to expectations at the round robin by going 5-3. If you look closely, however, you can see that they actually still maintain a raw ratings advantage over Michigan, but the fact that they've only attended 3 tournaments drops their adjusted rating to place them slightly behind. Despite winning the Weber RR, Iowa KL dropped a couple of spots due to a disappointing Harvard. However, their actual rating didn't change much. The drop was more a function of others gaining the points to surpass them.
Michigan State ST was a huge winner, jumping 7 spots due to their excellent performance at the Kentucky RR. They managed to pick up 7 wins there despite the fact that their previous rating would have pegged them to go 4-4. A fantastic UNLV and strong Harvard tournament enabled Texas KS to jump 11 slots to number 11. Vermont BL also jumped to the edge of first round territory. Perhaps the biggest leap was made by USC SS, who gained nearly 50 spots to now sit at 18th.
Further down the list, we saw also excellent performances by Baylor BC, Georgia BR, Trinity RS, Texas CS, UNT CS, Rutgers HQ and WSU CW, among others.